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. . ECOWAS VISION 2050.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO PRESENTATION OUTLINE Q Introduction Approach Methodology Components of the Vision Success Factors Conclusion www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Introduction (1/2) June 2007: Adoption of Vision 2020; ambition: Moving from an ECOWAS of States to an ECOWAS of People. End of the term of this Vision and need to provide the region with a new development perspective. CAPEC (Cellule d'Analyse de Politique Economique du CIRES) was commissioned to produce the new ECOWAS Vision 2050 Technical and Financial Partners : ECA and GIZ Mission: Develop the ECOWAS Vision 2050 document, based on a sound analysis of the results of the evaluation of Vision 2020, the diagnostic study of the region, the aspirations of the people and key stakeholders of the région, the ECOWAS structural analysis and the identification of possible and desirable futures for the prosperity of the community. www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Introduction (2/2) New Vision - New Global and Regional Dynamics: O Renewed commitments on UN SDGs and Action Agenda on Financing for Development, • Adoption of AU Agenda 2063 • Adoption the Paris Climate Agreement Adoption of the Global Compact for Safe and Orderly Migration • The 4th Industrial Revolution driven by digitalisation and digita technology • The Regionalisation of Partenerships (New Post-Cotonou Agreement) • Launch of the AfCFTA • The resolute commitment for the Economic and Monetary Union in West Africa www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Approch The development of ECOWAS Vision 2050 followed a highly participatory and inclusive regional approach. • Consultations: Member States, CSOs, Media, Private Sector, religious Leaders etc.. (COD) • Internal Coordination: • Inter-lnstitutional Coordination under the leadership of the President of the Commission and the supervision of the Vice President www.ecowas.int PARTICIPATORY APPROACH.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Methodology 1/2 SCENARIO vféio www.ecowas.int Literature review (retrospective and prospective sectoral, national and regional studies, including national development plans); Organisation of national and sub-regional consultative workshops in the Member States on the process, including the structural analysis with independent and multidisciplinary regional experts; Construction of possible future ECOWAS scenarios; Formulation of the Vision and its Strategic Orientations..

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Methodology 2/2: Building of a strong database etrospect ve ana s s Methodolog Themes selection Synthesis based on: •Regional prospective documents (ECOWAS Desk review -sectorial retrospective studies, -national prospective studies, prospective vision 2020: African Data analysis -data collection, -descriptive statistics - trends analysis SWOT analysis strategic intelligence matrix. futures: horizon 2025. etc) -Strategic planning documents of ECOWAS countnes 5 Selected www.ecowas.int -regional prospective studies -various National Development Plans. etc..

. . 1. 2. ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 1/11 ospective analysis and acuteness of the challenges: Five (5) Relevant Development Themes Demography-Human Capital-Social Development. Environment and Natural Resources. 3.0Sovernance, Peace and Security; 4. Economic Growth, Employment, Structural Transformation, Private Sector Development. www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 2/11 Demography, human capital, social development and migration (results) Demographic Dynamic Most 401.9 million in 2020 populated region in Africa Fertility rate > 4 children per woman in 13 countries Youth population years 44% < 25 years Dependency ratio O. 85 little change under the 40 last years www.ecowas.int slow demographic transition.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 3/11 Demography, human capital, social development and migration (results) Human Capital Average number of years of education in 9 countries Weak enrolment in technical and life expentancy at birth 57 years 65 years (project. 2045-50) Weak health systems training 13 countries in the lowest quartile of HC index www.ecowas.int figure I: Human Capital index.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 4/11 Demography, human capital, social development and migration (results) U nemployment rate (2020) 6.6% (g) Vulnerable employments over 700/0 in II countries Social development poverty declining trend since the end of 1990s but still high 36.00/0 under the poverty line (1.90 USD) in 2019 ncome inequality increasing trend since the 2000s Gender inequalities persistent in access to education, health, land, labor market www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Analyse Retrospective 5/11 Demography, human capital, social development and migration (results) Migration and urban development figure 2: urbanization rate in West Africa 1950-2050 Intense internal mobility Of West African migrations Increasing trend in urbanization since 1950 But more than 500/00f citizens in slums www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 6/11 Environment and natural resources (results) A region with a little level of pollution But ECOWAS significantly affected by climate change Sahel, the most vulnerable area ECOWAS, very rich in biodiversity, water resources, fisheries but access to drinking water and sanitation, a concern for 40% and 60% of the O • 520/0 of the World total carbon dioxide emissions Land and forest resources in the region are in high demand www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 7/11 Governance, Peace and Security Fragilisation and Weakening of Democratic Governance Increasing complexity of the security situation: Multi-faceted threats: Terrorism and financing, maritime piracy, drug and arms trafficking, cross- border crime, www.ecowas.int The number of deaths due to terrorism has increased fivefold in three years, with 4000 victims in 2019 in Burkina, Mali and Niger. In the first five (5) months of 2021, 670 armed incidents perpetrated by terrorist groups in the region resulted in over 2840 casualties..

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 8/11 Governance, Peace and Security (results) A worrying humanitarian situation the increasing use of social networks and the internet as a means of controlling the democratic process and public services COTUPtion as a major concern www.ecowas.int alarny stock In 2021 : 451 417 refugees and over 3.7 million IDPs of which 57% and 32% respectively in Nigeria and Burkina. 29 millions of sahelians will need humanitarian assistance and protection; 5 million more than in 2020..

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 9/11 Economic growth, structural transformation and private sector development (results) 2001-2005 2016-2018 Decline of growth in the 6 320/0 to 2.2% region Difficulties in mobilising domestic resources Low level of domestic savings, a constraint for investments Large stock of external debt www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Retrospective Analysis 10/11 Economic and monetary integration, economic infrastructure and partnership (results) Low intra-regional trade despite great potential Flow Exports (billions of dollars) Imports (billions of dollars) Intra-ECOWAS trade (in% of total exports) 2011 15.3 9.1 10.0 8.8 9.4 2012 2013 Intra-ECOWAS exports (as% of imports) Intra-ECOWAS imports (as% of imports) Total intra-ECOWAS trade (as% of trade) Source: ECOWAS (2018) www.ecowas.int total total total 13.6 9.4 23.0 8.0 12.2 10.1 14.0 12.1 26.1 11.8 13.7 12.7 2014 12.7 9.0 21.7 9.8 9.7 9.8 2015 9.8 8.3 18.1 13.6 10.7 12.1 2016 12.0 21.7 11.9 11.1 11.5.

. Retrospective Analysis 11/11 ECOWAS Economic and monetary integration , economic infrastructure and partnership ( results ) Infrastructure deficits and weak intra - communtity connectivity Less than 1% of total global connectivity traffic and just more than 2% of total African traffic 14% of the global asphalt network Density of the railway network : 1,9km/1000km2 ( against ) continental average of 2,5 km/1000km2 Roads , railways, energy ….

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Aspirations Articulation / Coherence Human Capital & Social Well-Being Strong Institutions & Rule of Law Regional Security and Stability Growth Employment and Sustainable Development Economic Integration and Globalisation Alignment of Aspirations with the Themes of the Retrospective Analysis • Alignment between the Themes and the Strategic Axes of the Member States' NDPs • Alignment between the Themes and the Continental and Multilateral Development Frameworks (AU Agenda 2063 and 2030 Agenda on the SDGs) www.ecowas.int.

. . Scenarios www.ecowas.int ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Identification of Prospective Themes & Combination of Assumptions Scenario Building Scenario 1: Suicide of a Giant Communitv Scenario 2: Walking backwards Scenario 3: A Community with timid stirdes Scenario 4: Africa's Torch VISION 2050.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Vision 2050 Statement: Vision 2050 A fully integrated Community of peoples, living in a peaceful and prosperous region, with strong institutions and respect for fundamental rights and freedoms, striving for inclusive and sustainable development " Slogan: ECOWAS of the People, Peace and Prosperity for all www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Elements of the ECOWAS Vision 2050 Process of formulation n A Community Ot tuny integated in a with instiültions Ot tor and sustainable Peace. Secwity and Stability SO': ECOWAS a stable and peaceful s.c.uri% Rule of Law cultwe and vernanc• for rule Of law and rü law "'tegr•tion intercotvwctivity S03: make ECOWAS a tuny and interconnected e«wrnic Accorü Wory Ecot—ic md Inchasive •nd S04: create the conditions 'or the transformation of econott'ies and of peoples inchasion SOS: maxe ECOWAS a fully inclusive 0' women, ycnath and children ciEz.nship The issues of youth, capacity b'Mng, to and through their transversality are at the heart of the uhievement of the 2050.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Pillar 1 - Peace, Security and Stability @ Making ECOWAS a secure, stabl and peaceful region ORSI: Strengthen regional peace and security. ORS2: Strengthen human security ORS3: Prevent, manage and conflicts www.ecowas.int resolve.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Pillar 2 - Governance and the rule of law Anchoring the culture of democracy and good governance and respect for the fundamental rights and freedoms ORSI: Strengthen Democratic Governance ORS2: Strengthen the rule of law and justice ORS3: Promote respect for fundamental rights and freedoms www.ecowas.int eeo.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Pillar 3 - Economic Integration and Interconnectivity Make ECOWAS a full Interconnected Economic • ORSI: Consolidate the Free Movement of People and Goods and accelerate market integration • ORS2: Accelerate monetary union and economic and financial integration Intensify infrastructure • ORS3: development and enhance inter -connectivity www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Pillar 4 - Transformation, Inclusive and Sustainable Development Create the Conditions for Economic Transformation and the Sustainable Well-being of the People ORSI: Promote human and social development. Leverage human capital and skills ORS2: development . ORS3: Strengthen environmental sustainability the fight against climate change. ORS4: Promote sustainable economic growth development. www.ecowas.int and and.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Pillar 5 - Social Inclusion Make ECOWAS a Community women, children and youth ORSI: Strengthen cultural diversity for development and social progress ORS2: Strengthen Community and Solidarity Promote inclusion and ORS3: social cohesion www.ecowas.int Citizenship strengthen Solidarity..

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Cross-cutting Themes Catalytic Themes of Vision 2050 Women-Gender 2. Youth - Employment 3. Digitalisation 4. Climate Change & Resilience www.ecowas.int 5. Capacity Building.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Conditions For Success VISION 2050 Availability Documents of Operational Institutional 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Guiding Principles Leadership & Political Will Ownership and Shared Responsibility Complementarity et Subsidiarity Transparency and Accountablity Sustainability www.ecowas.int 1. 1. 2. 3. 4. Success Factors Effective and Conducive Framework Resource Mobilisation, Cooperation and Strategic Partnerships Programming, Monitoring and Evaluation Strategic Surveillance Advocacy, Communication and Awareness.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Conclusion 1/2 Message 1: An Inclusive and Participatory Process Message 2: An approach that respects the strategic planning principles of prospective analysis and that provides relevant answers to four fundamental questions: • Who are we? • Where are we with the regional integration process in West Africa? • Where do we want to go? • How do we get there? Message 3: A community life project around shared values of solidarity and based on the deep aspirations of West African peoples www.ecowas.int.

. . ECOWAS COMMISSION COMMISSION DE LA CEDEAO COMISSÄO DA CEDEAO Conclusion/Perspectives 2/2 Message 4: ECOWAS Vision 2050 is articulated around national development efforts and is part of a dynamic to deepen the integration process in West Africa Message 5: A noble ambition that enshrines the central role of Member States, citizen and community participation and the importance of institutional mechanisms for coordination, monitoring, evaluation and implementation www.ecowas.int.

. . Merci. Thank You. Obrigado..