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Disclaimer. This presentation is general in nature and should not be seen as personalised advice. It has been designed in an educational nature and should not be relied upon as advice for your personal situation. Bagrie Economics accept no liability for any loss or damage caused by this presentation. Data and information have been gathered from sources Bagrie Economics believes to be reliable..

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Source: Statistics NZ, Bagrie Economics. Real GDP 38869 38961 39052 39142 39234 39326 39417 39508 39600 39692 39783 39873 39965 40057 40148 40238 40330 40422 40513 40603 40695 40787 40878 40969 41061 41153 41244 41334 41426 41518 41609 41699 41791 41883 41974 42064 42156 42248 42339 42430 42522 42614 42705 42795 42887 42979 43070 43160 43252 43344 43435 43525 43617 43709 43800 43891 43983 44075 44166 44256 44348 47.16899999999999 47.462000000000003 47.892000000000003 48.469000000000008 48.908000000000001 49.280999999999992 49.362999999999992 49.211000000000006 49.058999999999997 48.882000000000005 48.560000000000009 48.074999999999989 48.052000000000007 48.290999999999997 48.892000000000003 49.04699999999999 49.401000000000003 49.283999999999978 49.030999999999999 49.564 49.807999999999993 50.342999999999982 50.626000000000005 50.914000000000009 51.090000000000011 51.216999999999999 52.027000000000008 51.86 52.466000000000001 52.759999999999991 52.896999999999998 53.67199999999999 53.969000000000001 54.654000000000003 55.517000000000003 55.70300000000001 56.081000000000003 56.679999999999993 57.290999999999983 57.968000000000004 58.472000000000001 59.012 59.225999999999999 59.833999999999989 60.476999999999997 61.06 61.56600000000001 61.978999999999999 62.691000000000017 62.94700000000001 63.634 63.804000000000009 64.090999999999994 64.671000000000006 64.799000000000007 63.899000000000001 57.569000000000003 65.585999999999999 64.900999999999996 65.778000000000006 67.587999999999994.

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(as at 16 November 2021). Source: RBNZ , Bagrie Economics.

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Source: RBNZ , Bagrie Economics. Market expectations for OCR in 2 years 5 year bond 10 year bond 2.5 2.4 2.6.

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“Generally, investors are increasingly basing investment decisions on assessments of individual commercial properties rather than on broad sectoral trends” RBNZ Financial Stability Report November 2021.

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Source: Statistics NZ, NZ Herald. Under-investment.

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2020 2021 2022 2023 2028 2033 2038 2043 795 822 850 879 1042 1185 1316 1395.

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By 2061 health expenditure is projected to be $155 billion versus $22 billion now, and account for 23% of all government spending. Health is projected to exceed welfare spending..

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Manging healthcare expenditure. “Health expenditure is projected to grow to over 10% of GDP by 2061, up from about 7% today This reflects both demographic change and the fact that health expenditure tends to grow more quickly than income over time in most economies Delivering substantial efficiencies or productivity gains is likely to require reform that improves the underlying incentives and behaviour in the system.”.

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More private sector involvement likely. Source: Statistics NZ.

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Average yearly rise since 1988 Healthcare/social services 7.5% NZ economy 5.6%.

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This presentation was prepared by Bagrie Economics. All opinions, statements, analyses are based on information from sources which Bagrie Economics believes to be authentic and reliable. Bayleys and Bagrie Economics issues no invitation to anyone to rely solely on the information contained herein and intends by this statement to exclude liability for any such opinions, statements and analyses..